Commit Graph

10 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Le cccef51eaf feat: ATR-based SL/TP in backtest, portfolio-aware Kelly sizing, weighted correlation dampening, adaptive volatile threshold, fix eviction race
- backtest_engine.py: positions now also exit on ATR/regime-adaptive
  STOP_LOSS/TAKE_PROFIT (mirroring signal_service.py's close_stale_trades),
  not just REVERSAL/TIME_LIMIT/END_OF_DATA -- backtest/WFO now exercises
  the same exit rule live trading actually enforces.
- trade_executor.py: Kelly sizing dampens by 1/sqrt(same_direction_open+1)
  to account for correlated risk across simultaneously open positions
  (crypto altcoins move together); opposite-direction positions don't
  dampen since they net against that risk.
- signal_scoring.py: correlation dampening between the 13 vote algorithms
  now uses per-pair weighted coefficients (StochRSI~RSI high, MFI~RSI
  moderate, etc.) instead of uniform 1/sqrt(count), so near-duplicate
  signals get dampened harder than genuinely complementary ones.
- indicator_service.py: "volatile" regime threshold is now the 90th
  percentile of a symbol's own recent ATR% history instead of one fixed
  5% cutoff shared by every symbol (BTC vs. a naturally-volatile altcoin).
- trade_executor.py: fixed a phantom-read race in the eviction path where
  two concurrent signals for the same user could both pass the
  MAX_OPEN_TRADES check before either committed -- now locks the user row
  first to serialize per-user trade-opening.

209 backend tests pass (+22).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 16:58:37 +07:00
Le 662586c6bc feat: simulate trading fees/slippage in backtest, compute real PnL for real trades
Backtest/walk-forward priced every fill at the exact candle close with zero
cost, making reported win rate/profit factor systematically more optimistic
than live trading. Added configurable taker-fee + slippage simulation
(defaults 0.1%/0.05% per fill) applied to every entry/exit, threaded through
walk-forward's grid search and both API endpoints.

sync_real_trades() hardcoded pnl=0 for every real trade needing it, silently
reporting break-even for real-money trades regardless of actual outcome.
Replaced with FIFO lot matching per (user, symbol, exchange), and fixed
orders.py to persist the exchange's actual average fill price instead of
the (always-None-for-market-orders) requested price, so there's real price
data to match against.

Also verified (and locked in with regression tests) that Divergence/SMC's
pivot-confirmation delay is already causally consistent between live and
backtest — no repaint, no look-ahead leak.

187 backend tests pass (+17).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 14:50:36 +07:00
Le b96139d66f Make secret-file reading tolerate a missing file at the default path
A concurrent commit changed DB_PASSWORD_FILE/ENCRYPTION_KEY_FILE's
defaults from "" (opt-in) to fixed /run/secrets/... paths, so production
containers pick them up with zero extra config. But model_post_init reads
these unconditionally at Settings() construction for every process that
imports app.config — including local dev and the test suite, which don't
have that file — so it started crashing the entire test suite with
FileNotFoundError. A missing file now falls back to leaving DATABASE_URL/
ENCRYPTION_KEY untouched instead of crashing; an actual I/O error reading
an existing file still propagates. Added a regression test for exactly
this scenario. 171 backend tests passing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 12:47:29 +07:00
Le 0e77c055ba Wire ADX/regime detection into shared signal filter, unify the two regime systems
The market-regime filter (suppress directional signals in choppy/sideways
conditions, downgrade STRONG signals in volatile ones) already existed,
but only as a manual post-classification check inside signal_service.py's
live-trading path. Backtest and walk-forward called signal_scoring.py's
classifier directly, bypassing it entirely — so backtest results
systematically overestimated trade frequency and risk exposure relative
to what live trading actually does.

Factored the filter into a shared _apply_regime_filter() in
signal_scoring.py and added an optional market_regime param to
_classify_signal_combined() (default None preserves existing behavior for
every other caller, e.g. MTF sub-votes). backtest_engine.py now precomputes
adx()/atr() alongside the other rolling-window indicators and computes
detect_market_regime() per candle with the same bounded-window formula
live trading uses (candle_service.py), applying the filter once a
threshold combo resolves a concrete signal type. signal_service.py now
passes its regime into the shared classifier instead of duplicating the
check.

Also found and fixed a second, independent regime system: close_stale_trades()
(SL/TP sizing for open trades) computed its own cruder ATR-percentile-only
regime bucketing, which could disagree with the ADX+BB+Choppiness+
Efficiency-Ratio classification used for entry filtering. It now reads
market_regime from get_indicators() — the same TTL-cached function the
live signal-generation loop already populates — so entry filtering and
exit sizing agree on what "volatile" or "choppy" means for a given symbol.

14 new tests (unit tests for _apply_regime_filter, backtest integration
tests proving the filter suppresses/allows trades by regime, and a
signal_service test confirming close_stale_trades sources its regime from
the shared cache). 170 backend tests passing, frontend build clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 11:25:43 +07:00
Le 1c022264f5 Fix O(n^2) blowup and look-ahead leak in SMC/divergence backtest scoring
market_structure() (SMC) and detect_divergence() were each precomputed
once over the ENTIRE multi-year backtest range and reused unchanged for
every candle, so every candle's score could see results derived from
years of future price data — a look-ahead bug that inflated both
single-run backtest and walk-forward results, undermining the very
overfitting check walk-forward exists to provide. A prior fix bounded
this to a per-candle trailing window, which closed most of the leak but
still rescanned pivots from scratch on every candle (O(window) per
candle), too slow to enable 15m/30m walk-forward runs.

The real fix: pivot detection is itself a bounded rolling-window scan
(each position only depends on a few bars on either side), so it can be
precomputed once for the whole dataset just like BB/RSI/MACD. Per candle,
_compute_scores_series now just advances a monotonic pointer over
already-known pivots to whatever is causally confirmable as of that
candle — O(1) amortized across the whole run instead of O(window) or
O(n) per candle. Added an optional precomputed_pivots param to
detect_divergence() (backward compatible) to reuse this for RSI/MACD
divergence too.

Net effect: 16,000 candles went from 16.1s to 1.7s (confirmed empirically,
on top of an earlier ~10x from fixing the raw O(n^2)), and scaling stays
linear at 32,000 candles (3.2s). Walk-forward's timeframe options are now
15m/30m/1h/4h/1d (up from 1h/4h/1d) since 15m at the 3-year default
lookback now costs roughly 30s instead of 5+ minutes. Also wired
walk_forward.py's grid search to actually reuse one computed score series
across all 27 parameter combinations per fold (it was recomputing full
classification for every combination despite the scoring/threshold split
added earlier). 156 backend tests passing (3 new: causal-score regression,
pivot-detection-runs-once, order-block-window-bounded).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 10:42:32 +07:00
Le 625c2b3773 Add walk-forward backtest optimization to mitigate signal overfitting (item m)
Rolling train/test folds over 3 years of data auto-optimize the three
cheap-to-tune trading parameters (STRONG/BUY score thresholds, max hold
time) via grid search on each fold's train window, then evaluate purely
on the held-out test window. Stitching all out-of-sample results gives
an honest performance estimate uninflated by tuning against the same
data used to score it.

Split signal_scoring.py's expensive 13-algorithm scoring from its cheap
final threshold classification so grid search can replay many parameter
combinations without recomputing indicators each time. Moved the
backtest engine (fetch/precompute/simulate) out of the API layer into
app/services/backtest_engine.py so both /backtest/run and the new
walk-forward optimizer share one implementation instead of drifting
copies — same rationale as the earlier signal_service.py split (item h).

Also merges two long-diverged Alembic migration heads discovered while
adding the walk_forward_results table, so `alembic upgrade head` has a
single target again.

New: POST/GET/DELETE /walk-forward/* endpoints, a Walk-Forward tab on
the Backtest page (fold table, out-of-sample equity curve, run history).
19 new backend tests (153 total, all passing).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 09:15:21 +07:00
Le 9de41ea92b Split signal scoring, add Redis cache, Tailwind design system, and fix UI coherence issues
Backend: extract pure scoring logic from signal_service.py into signal_scoring.py (h),
add Redis-backed win-rate/PnL caching with graceful degradation (l), add Postgres
backup/restore scripts (n), move DB/encryption secrets to Docker secrets pattern (o),
fix RSI flat-price bug and MFI wraparound index bug (q, r). 134 backend tests passing.

Frontend: consolidate all API calls onto shared apiFetch with auto token refresh (i),
wire AnalyticsPage to the real /analytics/dashboard endpoint instead of fake random
data (j), migrate all pages and shared components to a Tailwind CSS design system (k)
fixing 3 mismatched color palettes found along the way. UI review also found and fixed
missing mobile table scroll wrappers, non-stacking grids, and a missing nav/logout bar
on ProfilePage.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-04 08:32:31 +07:00
Le 06bc5ba29b test: them 40 pytest cho indicator_service.py + phan async cua signal_service.py
- test_indicator_service.py (33 test): sma, ema, rsi, bollinger_bands,
  macd, atr, vwap, obv, obv_signal, mfi, detect_market_regime. Phat hien
  2 quirk nho (chua fix, can quyet dinh cua team):
    (q) rsi() tra ~98 thay vi 50 khi gia hoan toan di ngang (rs=50 sentinel
        van bi dua qua cong thuc RSI thay vi tra thang 50)
    (r) mfi() bi wraparound index o diem tinh dau tien cua chuoi (j-1=-1),
        tac dong thuc te gan bang 0 vi signal_service chi doc mfi_data[-1]
- test_signal_service_async.py (7 test): close_stale_trades (time limit,
  stop loss, take profit, trailing stop) + expire_old_signals. Cac ham
  nay tu mo session rieng qua async_session_factory (khong nhan db lam
  tham so) nen test monkeypatch bien module-level nay sang SQLite in-memory.
- conftest.py: them fixture session_factory (async_sessionmaker thay vi 1
  session) + _UTCDateTime TypeDecorator de SQLite giu duoc tzinfo UTC qua
  round-trip (SQLite khong ho tro luu tz-aware datetime nhu Postgres).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 22:30:31 +07:00
Le 9a0d2ab220 fix: sua loi eviction dung nham gia cross-symbol trong trade_executor.py
Phat hien (p) khi viet test cho trade_executor: khi kiem tra hybrid
eviction, PnL cua TAT CA cac trade dang mo (o nhieu symbol khac nhau) bi
tinh bang current_price cua tin hieu dang xu ly, thay vi gia thuc cua
tung symbol. Fix bang cach lookup gia moi nhat theo tung
symbol/exchange/timeframe (batched query, cung pattern da dung dung trong
close_stale_trades), ap dung cho ca xep hang loser LAN gia dong lenh cuoi
cung.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 22:29:41 +07:00
Le afbe4f4f15 test: them 81 pytest cho auth/orders/security/CORS/risk_manager/trade_executor/signal_service + CI
Backend truoc day chi co script goi httpx vao server dang chay that
(test_auth.py, test_full_api.py), khong phai pytest that. Them bo test
chay doc lap bang SQLite in-memory (khong can Postgres/Docker):

- test_rbac_deps.py: RBAC chain + regression-guard cho fix vai tro o /orders/place
- test_order_exchange_routing.py: routing dung san theo credential
- test_security_encryption.py: AES-GCM round-trip + tuong thich nguoc AES-CBC
- test_cors_config.py: CORS fail-closed khi thieu cau hinh
- test_risk_manager.py: Kelly sizing + SL/TP adaptive theo tung regime
- test_trade_executor.py: STRONG-only, dedup, reversal, volatility filter,
  hybrid eviction FIFO -- toan bo quy tac mo/dong trade
- test_signal_service_scoring.py: he thong cham diem 13 thuat toan

Them .gitea/workflows/backend-tests.yml chay pytest tu dong khi push/PR
dung vao backend/** (can Gitea Actions + runner da duoc bat tren instance).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-03 21:34:18 +07:00